Thinking Future Energy Systems

The EU Gas Exit project aims at developing concrete strategies for the EU and select member states to phase out the use of fossil gas by 2050, in line with the EU’s legally binding climate neutrality target. Key outcomes of the project include EU and national fossil gas phase-out pathways based on detailed sectoral modelling of the energy, buildings, and industry sectors, as well as national deep dives for the industry and buildings sectors.

The EU Gas Exit Project has developed National Gas Exit Pathways and narratives for nine EU countries in Central and Southeastern Europe that are particularly dependent on gas from Russia and so far rely on fossil gas as a “bridge fuel” in their energy transition planning. Each national pathway features detailed information on the methodology and assumptions for the scenario modelling, as well as key results for the energy, industry and buildings sectors.

National Industry Deep Dives were developed for Bulgaria, Hungary, Italy, Poland and Romania providing background information on fossil gas consumption across the different industry sub-sectors, an assessment of key drivers of fossil gas demand reduction until 2030, as well as general policy recommendations for fossil gas demand reduction in industry.

National Building Deep Dives were developed for Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Poland, Romania and Slovenia providing background information on fossil gas consumption in the buildings sectors, an exploration of five topic areas (energy savings, gas boilers, building renovations, heat pumps and district heating) and country-specific recommendations.